Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 2.019442 2.303161 2.614731 2.982647 3.405720 3.877562 4.444506
2025-10-12 1.689025 2.079754 2.544571 3.139857 3.884297 4.787515 5.971060
2025-10-19 1.423457 1.868537 2.434717 3.211321 4.254485 5.615106 7.537229
2025-10-26 1.225005 1.698955 2.337751 3.267819 4.597790 6.446719 9.239158
2025-11-02 1.031734 1.500276 2.164110 3.182059 4.719539 6.980246 10.602860
2025-11-09 0.861853 1.306048 1.963456 3.018557 4.691075 7.275986 11.643364
2025-11-16 0.759704 1.195831 1.867820 2.992895 4.858516 7.879622 13.245123
2025-11-23 0.669273 1.090307 1.763154 2.933884 4.956875 8.376343 14.735863
2025-11-30 0.632571 1.065590 1.782691 3.078431 5.410156 9.522209 17.528520
2025-12-07 0.589263 1.023600 1.766846 3.157488 5.755946 10.522954 20.211368
2025-12-14 0.536255 0.957911 1.701326 3.137373 5.914983 11.199508 22.375039
2025-12-21 0.476594 0.873153 1.591525 3.020099 5.871852 11.481522 23.786785
2025-12-28 0.456253 0.859687 1.612855 3.159957 6.359366 12.893264 27.830048
2026-01-04 0.438951 0.849947 1.640054 3.315227 6.901544 14.500719 32.596529
2026-01-11 0.413351 0.820930 1.626153 3.384652 7.273651 15.805304 36.921245
2026-01-18 0.388931 0.791365 1.607467 3.441080 7.625059 17.117026 41.506790
2026-01-25 0.353134 0.734245 1.525389 3.348850 7.628548 17.636476 44.241211
2026-02-01 0.314381 0.666622 1.413526 3.175478 7.418578 17.620237 45.600873
2026-02-08 0.291758 0.631448 1.367896 3.147986 7.552207 18.455540 49.365508
2026-02-15 0.268706 0.592872 1.310517 3.085529 7.591131 19.059898 52.614217
2026-02-22 0.263116 0.593077 1.340711 3.237881 8.193281 21.205869 60.650522
2026-03-01 0.253016 0.581758 1.342922 3.321215 8.628839 22.980155 67.962183
2026-03-08 0.237102 0.555058 1.305819 3.299964 8.782291 24.007436 73.213798